Plugged into Tomorrow: The rEVolution

Electric Vehicles (EVs) once felt like they belonged to the realm of science fiction – a futuristic  concept far removed from everyday reality. Today, they are transforming the automotive  landscape, moving from a niche innovation to a central player in the transition to sustainable  transportation. From sleek sedans that whisper silently through bustling city streets to rugged  electric trucks conquering off-road trails, EVs are no longer a novelty – they are the new normal. 

Unpacking the EV Value Chain 

The EV industry is at a turning point, transitioning from rapid growth to early maturity. Adoption  is accelerating, but challenges persist – fragile supply chains, fluctuating battery material costs,  and the urgent need for a robust charging infrastructure signal an evolving landscape. The  manufacturing process itself unfolds in key stages, each essential to shaping the vehicles of  tomorrow:- 

Global EV Market Surges Toward Mainstream 

The global EV market continues its transformative journey in 2024, firmly establishing itself as a  cornerstone of the automotive industry’s future. With EV sales projected to reach 17 million units  this year – an impressive leap from 14 million in 2023 – the momentum is undeniable. EVs are 

expected to claim nearly 19.2% of the light-vehicle market share, up from 18% in 2023. This  growth underscores their evolution from niche products to mainstream contenders, reshaping  consumer habits and industrial priorities worldwide. As of 2024, the global EV market is projected  to reach a revenue of approximately $786.2 billion. Looking ahead, the market is expected to  experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.63% from 2025 to 2029, driving the  market volume to an estimated $1,084.0 billion by 2029. 

The global EV market is dominated by China, which accounts for around 55% of global sales,  driven by strong policies, investments in battery technology, and robust domestic manufacturing.  Europe follows closely, with EV adoption growing despite challenges like subsidy cuts in Germany  and France. The U.S. also sees steady growth, supported by federal incentives such as the  Inflation Reduction Act, which supports the EV shift by offering tax credits for new and used EVs,  incentivizing domestic manufacturing and battery production, and funding nationwide EV  charging infrastructure. It also promotes clean energy integration to ensure sustainable EV  adoption. Emerging economies, including India, Thailand, and Vietnam, are gaining traction with  affordable EV models and government-led initiatives. By 2035, EVs are projected to represent  two-thirds of global vehicle sales, reflecting the ongoing transformation of the global automotive landscape.

Global EV Pioneers 

The global EV market is rapidly evolving. According to EV volumes, BYD and Tesla dominated the  first half of 2024, capturing over 30% of the worldwide market. Tesla leads globally with its  advanced battery technology and popular models by revenue. At the same time, BYD, leveraging  its stronghold in China and expanding its European presence, surpassed Tesla in total sales,  accounting for 21% of global deliveries (1.19 million units). 

BMW ranked third globally with over 210 thousand units sold, and Volkswagen secured fifth place  with approximately 157 thousand units sold. The market is increasingly influenced by Chinese  automakers, who now comprise over half of the top 20 brands by sales, challenging traditional  giants like Tesla, BMW, and Volkswagen as they strive to retain their competitive edge. 

China’s EV Dominance and Rivalries 

China has advanced its EV industry through various strategies, including the dual-credit system,  which pushes automakers to increase electrified vehicle production. Regulatory measures, like  easier access to EV license plates and financial incentives, such as rebates and tax exemptions,  have also played a key role. The government has invested in R&D and charging infrastructure,  while local governments in cities like Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing have introduced rebate  programs to promote EV adoption. However, China’s dominance in critical components like  batteries and rare earth materials has raised concerns globally. 

In response, regions like the U.S., the European Union (EU), and countries such as India are  intensifying efforts to strengthen local EV production. India is making significant investments in  battery manufacturing and expanding EV infrastructure through initiatives like the FAME II  program, aimed at enhancing domestic EV production and charging networks. 

India’s EV Market Landscape 

India’s EV industry stands at the crossroads of transformation, poised to redefine the nation’s  mobility landscape. With a booming automotive sector and a growing appetite for sustainable  transportation, India is fast emerging as a global EV powerhouse. Driven by ambitious  government targets, innovative automakers, and an ever-increasing consumer base, the country  is poised to become the world’s third-largest automotive market by 2030. This surge isn’t just  about numbers; it’s about reshaping the future of transportation in one of the world’s most  populous and dynamic economies. 

India’s EV market is charging ahead with impressive growth. Valued at $8.03 billion in 2023, it is  expected to skyrocket to $117.78 billion by 2032, reflecting an impressive CAGR of 22.4%. The 

push towards EV adoption is fueled by rising population demands and a heavy reliance on  imported crude oil, which accounts for nearly 80% of the country’s requirement for cruise oil. To  tackle this, the government, led by NITI Aayog, aims for 70% EV adoption across all vehicle types  by 2030, aiming to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2070

The Carbon Credit Edge for EVs 

Collaborating with an electric truck mobility company offered us unique insights into India’s rapidly evolving carbon credit  ecosystem. With a revamped Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) introduced in 2023, businesses now have  unprecedented opportunities to leverage carbon credits for growth and sustainability. Let’s explore how this is shaping the  future. 

India’s Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) 

The CCTS establishes a market for tradable carbon credits and is divided into two key markets: 

Compliance Market (Starting 2025-26): 

In this mandatory system, high-emission industries like steel must adhere to government-imposed emission targets.  Companies exceeding their limits must purchase carbon credits to offset emissions, while those emitting less can  sell surplus credits for profit. This mechanism creates a strong monetary incentive for reducing emissions. 

Voluntary Market (Launch Date TBA): 

This optional market empowers businesses and individuals to offset their carbon footprint by purchasing credits  voluntarily. It enables them to achieve sustainability or net-zero goals, driven by stakeholder expectations for  greener practices. This market reflects the growing importance of environmental responsibility in corporate  strategy. 

Carbon Credits Powering India’s EV Sector 

India’s carbon credit projects are driving transformation in the EV industry through two major avenues: 

Renewable Energy Charging Solutions: 

Charging stations powered by clean energy sources, such as solar and wind, reduce reliance on fossil fuels while  generating carbon credits. For example, Indian Oil Corporation Limited, in collaboration with Hygge Energy, has  developed renewable energy tracking systems that blend sustainability with economic value. These innovations  demonstrate how clean energy is reshaping the infrastructure supporting EV adoption. 

EV Manufacturing and Usage: 

Transitioning from gasoline vehicles to EVs is significantly cutting emissions, contributing to cleaner air and  sustainable urban development. Carbon credit projects incentivize this shift, creating a ripple effect of innovation  and environmental impact within India’s automotive ecosystem

Powering India’s EV Policy Pulse 

FAME I: Laying the Foundation for EV Adoption 

India’s electric mobility journey began in 2015 with the introduction of the Faster Adoption and  Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles (FAME) scheme with an initial budget of ₹795 crore for two  years. However, the scheme was extended several times, and the final extension was until March  31, 2019, with an additional allocation of ₹100 crore. Designed to promote EV affordability and  local manufacturing, the scheme provided financial incentives to EV buyers and supported the  development of essential EV components like batteries and electric motors. 

FAME II: Scaling up EV Adoption and Infrastructure 

Building on the success of FAME I, FAME II intensified India’s EV push with significant investments  in public EV charging infrastructure and demand incentives. The Ministry of Heavy Industries  (MHI) approved ₹800 crore to establish 7,432 public EV charging stations and ₹73.50 crore to  upgrade 980 existing charging stations. The scheme targeted the electrification of public and  shared transportation, including 7,090 electric buses, 5 lakh e-three-wheelers, 55,000 e-four wheeler passenger cars, and 10 lakh e-two-wheelers. With ₹5,790 crore in subsidies, over 1.34  million EVs were sold, reinforcing India’s EV leadership ambitions. 

EMPS: Focused Support for Smaller EVs 

To adapt to changing market dynamics, the Electric Mobility Promotion Scheme (EMPS) replaced  FAME II from April 1, 2024, to September 30, 2024. With a budget of ₹778 crore, EMPS focused  on high-demand segments like electric two-wheelers (e-2Ws) and electric three-wheelers (e 3Ws). The scheme supported 3,72,215 EVs, including 3,33,387 e-2Ws and 38,828 e-3Ws, covering  electric rickshaws, e-carts, and L5-category vehicles. Prioritizing advanced battery technology,  EMPS aimed to accelerate last-mile connectivity and personal mobility. 

PM E-DRIVE Scheme: Advancing EV Adoption and Infrastructure 

India’s future EV policy targets electrifying 8,00,000 diesel buses over 2024 – 2030, replacing more  than one-third of the country’s diesel bus fleet. This initiative focuses on reducing vehicular  emissions while promoting large-scale investments in EV manufacturing and charging  infrastructure. Additionally, the PM Electric Drive Revolution in Innovative Vehicle Enhancement  (PM E-DRIVE) Scheme commits ₹10,900 crore to support EV adoption, including two-wheelers,  three-wheelers, ambulances, and trucks. It also allocates ₹2,000 crore for 72,000 fast-charging 

stations and ₹780 crore for upgrading EV testing facilities, reinforcing India’s sustainable  transportation goals. 

Types of Vehicles 

Key Players in India’s EV Growth 

Vehicle Type: Two-Wheeler 

Ola: Ola Electric has established itself as a leader in the Indian electric two-wheeler market,  making a significant impact with its ambitious growth strategies and diverse product range. The  company operates a highly automated “mega-factory” in Tamil Nadu, with a projected annual  production capacity of 10 million units. 

Ather Energy: Ather Energy is an Indian manufacturer specializing in high-performance electric  scooters. Known for models like the Ather 450X, the company aims to revolutionize urban  mobility with innovative, tech-driven solutions and a focus on sustainability.  

Vehicle Type: Four-Wheeler 

Tata Motors: Tata Motors has evolved from a truck and taxicab reputation to a leader in India’s  EV revolution. By 2024, its diverse lineup – featuring the Nexon (EV), Tiago (EV), and Punch (EV) –

drove a 43% surge in EV sales, securing over 70% market share in the segment and redefining its  image in the passenger vehicle market. 

Mahindra & Mahindra: Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), India’s most considerable SUV  manufacturer, has revamped its EV strategy by creating a subsidiary, Mahindra Electric  Automobile Ltd, with plans to invest ₹12,000 crore and launching five electric SUVs by 2026. 

Morris Garage: MG Motor India has launched its first all-electric Crossover Utility Vehicle, the  Windsor EV, priced from ₹9.9 lakhs. Based on the Wuling Cloud EV, it joins MG’s EV lineup  alongside the ZS EV and Comet EV, positioning MG as a strong competitor to Tata Motors. MG’s  joint venture with JSW Group aims to accelerate its growth in India’s market. 

Hyundai: Hyundai Motor India is expanding its offerings with the upcoming Creta EV launch in  January 2025 and the locally assembled IONIQ 5 while enhancing EV infrastructure with plans for  600 fast-charging stations nationwide. The company focuses on strategic partnerships, including  one with Exide Energy for battery localization, to support India’s growing EV market. 

Vehicle Type: Commercial Vehicle 

Ashok Leyland: Ashok Leyland is advancing its portfolio by delivering electric trucks like the AVTR  55T and BOSS Electric series, designed for urban logistics. The company is investing ₹1,200 crore  in manufacturing electric buses and enhancing EV capabilities in Tamil Nadu. 

Olectra Greentech: Olectra Greentech has strengthened its position in India’s EV market by  supplying over 2,100 electric buses and reporting a significant increase in profits and revenue in  2024. The company has also extended its partnership with BYD until 2030 to enhance its electric  bus offerings.

Sl No.  Feature Tata Nexon EV  (Tata Motors) XUV400 EV  (M&M) MG ZS EV  (Morris Garage) IONIQ EV  (Hyundai)
Range (in km)  489  456  461  631
Maximum Torque (in bhp)  148  147.51  174.33  214.56
Charging Time (AC)  6 hrs 36 mins  6 hrs 30  mins Upto 9 hrs  6 hrs 55  mins
Battery Capacity (in kWh)  46.08  39.4  50.3  72.6

The Significance of Charging Infrastructure 

The availability of public charging facilities is a cornerstone of the EV revolution. It provides  confidence to existing EV users and encourages prospective buyers to transition to EVs. Fast charging stations, in particular, play a pivotal role in reducing charging times and enhancing the  overall efficiency of EV usage. India’s efforts in this domain reflect a clear commitment to  sustainable mobility and reducing carbon emissions. With infrastructure continuing to grow, the  nation is well-positioned to pave the way for a cleaner and more energy-efficient future.

Expanding India’s EV Charging Network 

This map showcases the distribution of EV charging stations across India, highlighting regional  progress in electric mobility infrastructure. States like Maharashtra, Karnataka, and Tamil Nadu  lead with significant installations, reflecting their commitment to sustainable transport.  Conversely, regions like Sikkim and Nagaland lag behind, underscoring the need for more  equitable development to drive EV adoption nationwide.

The Cost of EVs: Breaking Down the Price Tag 

Although EVs provide significant advantages, such as lower operating costs and environmental  benefits, their upfront cost remains higher than traditional petrol or diesel cars. This is primarily  due to the high cost of advanced battery manufacturing, involving expensive raw materials like  lithium and cobalt, and the complexity of production processes. Their nascent charging  infrastructure and limited production scale further influence the high cost of EVs. However, as  technology progresses, manufacturing expands, and market competition intensifies, the prices  of EVs are anticipated to drop significantly over time. Click on the link to view the Excel file  provided by the Bureau of Energy Efficiency, which offers a detailed breakdown of the price of  compared to a regular petrol car. 

The Road Ahead: Will EVs Replace ICE Vehicles? 

As the automotive industry undergoes a significant transformation, the debate between Internal  Combustion Engine (ICE) vehicles and EVs has become a focal point of discussion. With the push  for sustainability and technological advancements, it’s crucial to understand how these two types  of vehicles differ in efficiency, cost, and environmental impact. 

ICE vehicles rely on high-specific energy fuels that emit greenhouse gases, while EVs use  electricity stored in low-specific energy batteries, producing no tailpipe emissions. Fuel tanks in  ICE vehicles take up little space and are lightweight, but EV batteries are larger and heavier. ICE  vehicles have higher maintenance and running costs, lower energy efficiency (30%), and a  complex gear system. They are also noisy and require speed to achieve maximum torque. In  contrast, EVs have lower maintenance and running costs, boast higher energy efficiency (80%),  operate with a simple gear system, and deliver maximum torque instantly while running quietly.  While EVs may have a higher initial purchase price, their lower operating and maintenance costs,  combined with available incentives, often result in a favorable Total Cost of Ownership (TCO)  compared to ICE vehicles. This makes them an economically viable option for many consumers.  

Exploring the Pros and Cons of EVs 

EVs promise a cleaner, greener future with significant advantages, but their adoption comes with  a fair share of challenges. While they reduce tailpipe emissions and offer lower running costs  than internal combustion vehicles, their broader impact reveals several drawbacks. 

One major issue is limited charging infrastructure, especially in rural areas, which leads to range  anxiety for drivers. Charging EVs also takes longer compared to traditional refueling, adding  inconvenience. Despite incentives, the high upfront cost of EVs, mainly due to expensive battery 

materials, remains a barrier. Additionally, battery production relies on mining materials like  lithium and cobalt, which raises ethical and environmental concerns. Furthermore, the high  manufacturing emissions associated with EVs, particularly during battery production, can take  years to offset the initial ecological impact. 

Another drawback is the underdeveloped battery recycling infrastructure, creating long-term  waste management challenges. Moreover, as EV adoption grows, it could strain electricity grids,  especially in regions still dependent on fossil fuels. These disadvantages highlight the ongoing  challenges in EV adoption, though advancements in technology and infrastructure are paving the  way for a more sustainable future. 

While the challenges surrounding EV adoption are significant, continued progress in technology,  infrastructure, and sustainability practices is essential to unlocking their full potential and  ensuring a more sustainable and efficient future for mobility.

 

Contributor: Team Leveraged Growth

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